Nifty Swings Wild but Ends Higher; Global Tariffs, RBI Policy & Earnings in Focus

👉 This market update covers a dramatic trading day for Nifty and key domestic/global economic news. Investors are tracking tariff developments, RBI’s policy meet, and earnings season as potential market movers.


Nifty Market Summary (April 8, 2025)

  • Opening: Nifty opened with a strong gap-up of 285 points at 22,446.75, fueled by positive global cues and a US market rebound.
  • Intraday Volatility:
    • Early surge to 22,550
    • Sharp fall of 280 points to 22,270
    • Recovered 200 points to break 22,600, hitting an intraday high of 22,697
    • Slipped again by 220 points to 22,480, before ending at 22,535.85
  • Closing Gain: Up 1.68% for the day

What It Means:
Nifty had a roller-coaster day with wide swings. Despite heavy intraday volatility, the index closed higher, reflecting strong underlying buying interest — possibly due to expectations from RBI’s policy and upcoming earnings.


Broader Market & Sectoral Snapshot

  • Market Breadth:
    • 2,391 stocks advanced
    • 499 declined
    • All 12 NSE sectors ended in green – showing widespread buying
  • Top Sector Gainer:
    • Nifty Media: +4.72%
  • Lowest Gainer (but still positive):
    • Nifty Bank: +1.31%

Interpretation:
A rare session where all sectors gained — indicating positive sentiment across the board.


Options Data – Support & Resistance (Open Interest)

  • Call OI Resistance Zone:
    • 23,000 (strongest), then 22,800
  • Put OI Support Zone:
    • 22,500 (strongest), then 22,200

Note: Call OI = Resistance | Put OI = Support
This suggests Nifty might consolidate between 22,200–22,900 in the near term.


What’s Next? Key Triggers Ahead

  • RBI Monetary Policy Decision (Tomorrow)
  • Inflation Data Release
  • Start of Corporate Earnings Season
  • Global Tariff Uncertainty (U.S.-China-EU)

Markets may stay volatile with a directional move expected post-RBI announcement.


India-Specific Developments

  • India now 3rd largest wind & solar producer, surpassing Germany
  • LPG price hiked ₹50/cylinder, excise on petrol/diesel up by ₹2 despite lower crude prices
  • Foreign investors pulled ₹9,000+ crore from equities in April
  • BEL gains 3.44% after ₹2,210 crore defence order
  • Loan defaults:
    • Coffee Day: ₹425 crore
    • IL&FS Engineering: ₹2,628 crore

Global Market Headlines

  • China vs. U.S. Trade War Escalation: China calls U.S. tariff threats “blackmail”
  • Brent crude < $64, lowest since 2021
  • Gold > $3,000/oz, safe-haven demand rises
  • US Dollar Index drops, inflation & tariff fears grow
  • Japan’s record current account surplus, driven by exports
  • Australia’s consumer sentiment dips, global trade fear looms

Management Reactions

  • Volvo Eicher CEO: US auto tariffs won’t hit India hard, but component exports could suffer
  • Piyush Goyal: India plays fair in global trade, rejects China’s opaque model
  • JP Morgan CEO Jamie Dimon: Tariff escalation could cause long-term alliance damage

Key Lesson from Today’s Market

Volatility = Opportunity if managed with discipline.
Investors should stay cautious before RBI’s decision, but broad-based buying shows strength in the market’s core. Avoid panic in intraday swings; focus on macro cues, support-resistance levels, and sectoral leadership.

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